GUARDS WE LIKE

Frankie Collins, ASU (G, 7700) – VCU and ASU square off in Brooklyn tonight and I have no idea how Bobby Hurley still has a job. I’ll stick to DFS content though, at this point it seems to be a Frankie Collins team. He’s got 29% shot share and elite assist rates. He is surrounded by scorers, so he’s playable despite this crazy price point. Warren Washington (F, 6500) is coming off a 14 rebound, 4 block performance and will have a size advantage down low if you think he can keep it cooking tonight.

Adrian Baldwin, Jr., VCU (G, 7200) – Ace has elite assist rates and should get several steals against the undisciplined Sun Devils, so he’s got a high floor with ceiling tonight for the Rams. He should continue to produce in the low 30 DK range, which is a solid return at this price.

Davonte Davis, ARK (G, 7000) – Musselman said Nick Smith still hasn’t had a full practice, so this means Davis will continue to be the usage leader (25%) for one of the most exciting teams in the nation. With a total of 152 expected per Vegas, Davis is a solid play as many will look at Anthony Black (G, 7800) hoping to catch the highly talented freshman’s breakout game.

Julian Strawther, GONZ (G, 6900) – Texas played a few tomato cans so far, but they have the #1 adjusted D in the nation, will play at a snail’s pace, and run teams off the 3-point line. Timme (F, 10,500) is a DFS legend and I’ll never say don’t play him, but his price point is certainly intimidating in this specific matchup. The 2^nd fiddle for the Zags has been Strawther, who has the 2^nd most minutes, 2^nd highest shot share, and is a decent rebounder. I think he can still hit value at this price against an elite Texas D. Anton Watson (F, 4800) could profile well in a muck it up game where the Zags will need to match the Longhorn’s physicality down low if you need a sub-$5k tourney option.

Landers Nolley III, CINCY (G, 6800) – This game should have the lowest collective ownership on the slate, so there may be contrarian options here, but don’t go crazy as both teams play slow. That said, the well-travelled Nolley (Va-Tech, Memphis) has assimilated well to Cincy leading them in minutes played. At 6-7, and playing the 4, Nolley has rebounding upside tonight, separating him from others IMO. DeJulius (G, 6200) and Davenport (G, 6400) both viable as well, with DeJulius being the more proven commodity, averaging 5x per game at this price.

Al-Amir Dawes, SHU (G, 6700) – There are other guards I like more in this price range, but with Iowa wanting to run and gun, the Seton Hall backcourt should be able to hit value. Kadary Richmond (G, 6000) fits this style of game well, but seems capped at 20 mpg while Holloway figures out his rotations. In fact, most of the Pirate minutes are so spread out it makes them tough to play in cash formats.

Ricky Council IV, ARK (G, 6400) – As long as Nick Smith’s anticipated debut remains on hold, it looks as if the Razorbacks are going to lean on Council. The former Wichita State guard has been a stellar pick up for the Arkansas scoring and stat-stuffing his way to back-to-back 32+ DK games while playing 73/80 available minutes. Very high floor tonight.

Jett Howard, MICH (G, 6300) – Howard has looked every bit as good as promised early this season. Only 7 shot attempts against EMU, but I expect that will wax and wane early on. I would take a shot with him in GPP tournaments. Bufkin (G, 4200) is just as active and has a year experience, so he’s a bit safer.

Jamarius Burton, PITT (G, 6100) – Not a bad price for Burton who is a proven scorer, going 5x/4x in his first two games this season. 30% usage so far which will likely go down once Hugley returns, but he is below his shot share last season, so we anticipate a positive regression there. Plus nearly a 40% assist rate so far which is solid.

Zeke Mayo, SDSU (G, 5700) – Mayo doesn’t go with everything. Chicken sandwich, sure. Pizza, not so much. With Zeke you get a bit of everything. His usage and ability to crash the boards are like the chicken sandwich, but his turnovers are a bit like the pizza. We love the pace and matchup tonight, so Mayo has a chance to boom or bust as a GPP play this evening.

Devan Cambridge, ASU (G, 5400) – With Bagley out, Cambridge should continue to approach 30 minutes per game. He’s hit or miss in terms of scoring, but he’s filling up the ancillary stats so if he can hit a few buckets he becomes a viable 4-5x option tonight. I do have some fear that Hurley shakes things up, so there is some risk in all the Sun Devils tonight.

Payton Sandfort, IOWA (G, 4900) – The sophomore is off to a hot shooting start for the Hawkeyes scoring 13 or more points in both games. He has all had at least 8 rebounds+assists in each game as well. If this kind of play continues his price won’t stay here for long.

Xavier Rhodes, NORKY (G, 4700) – The top three Norse options are all 6.9k or more, so hard to recommend them. NKU has been 320^th or higher in tempo the last three years, so this isn’t a team to push pace. They don’t play a deep bench though which means you are getting 30 minutes from Rhodes at under 5k. He’s a crafty veteran point guard who can get to the line and fill in the stats where needed. Cash only.