GUARDS WE LIKE

Terry Roberts, UGA (G, 8900) – Note that we want to watch the status of Kario Oquendo (G, 8400) prior to tip. If he misses, Robert comes into play. The Bradley transfer has a *double checks stats* 38% shot share and 34% usage so far this season. If Oquendo goes, Roberts is hard to trust at this lofty price point. 

Judah Mintz, SYR (G, 8100) – Mintz doesn’t have the huge usage and shot share numbers that Girard (G, 8100) does, but 26%/29% are solid, plus he’s a playmaker (23% ARate) and shoots much better inside the arc (60% 2P). The Spiders have guarded the 3 very well this year so far (22% 3P), so Mintz could end up having a much bigger impact in this one.

Khalif Battle, TEMP (G, 6300) – This game should be fast and has an implied point total north of 150. Battle and Damien Dunn (G, 7900) are both terrific players who should excel in pace. I lean Battle for the $1600 savings, but have no problems with either.

Cameron Brown, STJOE (G, 5900) – Here is a one of the better plays of the day. Brown has back-to-back 40 burgers and a team high 29% shot share. He’s also a great wing rebounder who plays max minutes. Expect high ownership as Brown is a lock in all formats. 

Shakeel Moore, MSST (G, 5900) – Moore had 24 DK and a season high in minutes the last time the Bulldogs played a team that wanted to push tempo. Pacey games tend to benefit opposing point guards so Moore is a low owned GPP flier tonight. The junior point guard is gifted defensively with 3+ steals in 3-of-4 games.

Matt Bradley, SDSU (G, 5800) – The former Cal Bear led the Aztecs in scoring last season but has gotten off to a bit of a rough start this season. His 32% shot share tracks with last year however, so he just needs to turn around his abysmal shooting (28% 2P/12% 3P) to start hitting the huge scoring output we’ve seen historically. Buy low… If you’re looking for less risk, plug in Seattle transfer Trammell (G, 7400). The 5’10 PG has been fantastic early this season, even when not scoring. He can rack up assists and steals which gives him a nice 4x floor. Similar story for Lamont Butler (G, 6600) who you can get for a few dollars cheaper.

Isaac Likekele, OSU (G, 5700) – The Oklahoma St transfer can do a little of everything and is being plugged in 1 through 4. He’s rebounding at a high level and can scratch out a few defensive stats as well. Coach Holtmann may lean on his senior playmaker ahead of other talented freshman. 

Montez Mathis, STJN (G, 5200) – I really don’t want to pay a premium price for Jones (9300), Posh (8700), or Soriano (8500). One will likely hit, but no clear indication who it will be. Jones has the usage rate, Posh is the name, and Soriano brings the intangibles. Instead, give me Mathis or Andre Curbelo (G, 6400). Both see plenty of floor time and have upside from their price in this plus match-up.

Lynn Greer III, STJOE (G, 5000) – With Brown written up and Reynolds (8600) priced high, but appropriately, Greer can be considered and alternate target. 33+ minutes in his last two and near 5 assists per game. 7x last time out, but shots were dropping. Not a high shot rate in general, but he is an intriguing option. 

Rollie Worster, UTAH (G, 5000) – Brenden Carlson is the Utes best player, with 30+% shot share and he’s filling up the stat sheet, but he’s priced up quite a bit on the lowest over/under on the slate. With Anthony working his way back from injury and Stefanovic’s inconsistency, Worster has a shot at being Utah’s 2^nd best player and his price point is more than fair. 30+ minutes in 3 straight games including a 6x last time out. I’ve made Worster plays in my life.

Miles Kelly, GT (G, 4500) – This Yellow Jacket team is still trying to figure out an identity, but Kelly certainly knows his role.  Shoot the rock. He’s got 31% shot share, including 13+ FGAs in back-to-back games, playing 30 minutes in each. He does nothing else but shoot, but if he can knock down a few shots he can certainly hit value. This team is a bit of a mystery and lowest over/under on the slate, so he’s best suited for tourneys only.

Sebastian Thomas, URI (G, 4400) – The Rams are bad this year, especially offensively. Ish Leggett (G, 7500) is there best player and can fill up the stat sheet, but in a game Kenpom projects Rhode Island to score in the low 60s, I worry up Leggett’s upside at that price. For $3k less, you can get the Rams PG, who has top 11 assist rates nationally. He’s gone 6x/8x at this price point with a foul trouble stinker in between. With the 2^nd lowest over/under on the slate, I’m not looking to go overboard on any Rams options tonight.

Jusaun Holt, UGA (G, 3400) – Holy has benefited with Oquendo out, so it is unlikely he pays 31 minutes if Kario returns to the lineup. That said, Holt has earned a stronger spot in the rotation. He’s an active rebounder and solid defender, which Mike White likes. At this small of a price point, he could open up some salary space for the bigger stars on the slate.