The Beavers unexpected journey continues tonight as 7.5 point dogs with an over/under south of 130. No surprise on the game total, as Oregon St. plays in the 300s in tempo and Houston is a lock down D. That doesn’t bode well for Ethan Thompson (G, 7400). While he is their primary usage player offensively and has 30+ DK in 5 of his last 6, he’ll likely have Jarreau guarding him and he’s priced up a bit. He could sneak out a 4x but has no ceiling in this matchup. Warith Alatishe (F, 6900) is an elite rebounder but his lack of offensive firepower limits his upside. Jarod Lucas (G, 5400) is the designated shooter for the Beavers. He’s very scoring dependent, but keep in mind Houston is top 10 in 3-point FG% defensively. Roman Silva (F, 4800) came back down to Earth last game after a hot start to the tourney, but still saw 28 minutes if you are looking to get lucky. Zach Reichle (G/F, 4300), Gianni Hunt (G, 3600), and Maurice Calloo (F, 3500) round out the rotation for the Beavers if you need a desperation punt play. I know it’s a short slate, but I generally avoid rostering players against Houston’s elite D.
 
Oregon State’s defense has carried them thus far and they are holding teams to 30.4% 3-point shooting on the season, so it doesn’t profile well for Quentin Grimes (G, 8200). That said, his price is fair and he’s going to take 15 shots as the offensive alpha on this team, so I think he’s in play in tourneys. Justin Gorham (F, 6400) got priced back up a bit. We loved him at $5500 but at $6400 he’s probably looking at a 4x ceiling. DeJon Jarreau (G, 6200) looked fully healthy and will be one of the highest owned players on the slate after almost dropping a triple double last game. Marcus Sasser (G, 6000) had 4 steals last game, which certainly adds to his scoring upside. I prefer Jarreau for $200 more, but Sasser can hit 4x at this price point. Tramon Mark (G, 4700) is best suited for tourneys only as the freshman is still inconsistent, but he’s a long athlete that can do a bit of everything. Fabian White, Jr. (F, 4500) has been a big boost to this Cougar team since coming back from a knee injury. He’ll play less than 20 minutes and the game environment isn’t great, so he’s a GPP option only. Brison Gresham (F, 3900) is a bruiser down low with sub-10% usage, so generally less upside than White but he could see 20 minutes as well and has some block upside. The Beavers like to foul, so we could see some extra points from free throws for the Cougars tonight as well. Hopefully for their sake they can shoot them better than Alabama did yesterday.